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'''Average true range''' ('''ATR''') is a [[technical analysis]] [[Volatility (finance)|volatility]] indicator originally developed by [[J. Welles Wilder, Jr.]] for [[commodities]].<ref>{{cite book | author=[[J. Welles Wilder, Jr.]] | title=New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems | publisher=Trend Research |date=June 1978 | isbn=978-0-89459-027-6 |location=Greensboro, NC}}</ref> The indicator does not provide an indication of price [[Market trend|trend]], simply the degree of price volatility.<ref name=investopedia>[http://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/atr.asp ATR Definition - investopedia.com]</ref><ref> | |||
{{cite book | |||
| title = International encyclopedia of technical analysis | |||
| author = Joel G. Siegel | |||
| publisher = Global Professional Publishing | |||
| year = 2000 | |||
| isbn = 978-1-888998-88-7 | |||
| page = 341 | |||
| url = http://books.google.com/books?id=IjuoD5yJs8YC&pg=PA341 | |||
}}</ref> | |||
The average true range is an N-day [[moving average (finance)#Exponential moving average|exponential moving average]] of the '''true range''' values. Wilder recommended a 14-period smoothing.<ref>This is by his reckoning of EMA periods, meaning an α=2/(1+14)=0.1333.</ref> | |||
== Calculation == | |||
[[File:ATR Indicator Chart.png|thumbnail|right|[[MetaTrader 4|MetaTrader]] EUR/USD chart showing ATR indicator (cyan line) with period 14.]] | |||
The range of a day's trading is simply <math>\mbox{high} - \mbox{low}</math>. The '''true range''' extends it to yesterday's closing price if it was outside of today's range. | |||
: <math>\mbox{true range} = {\max[(\mbox{high} - \mbox{low}), \mbox{abs}(\mbox{high} - \mbox{close}_\mbox{prev}), \mbox{abs}(\mbox{low}-\mbox{close}_\mbox{prev})]}\,</math> | |||
The '''true range''' is the largest of the: | |||
* Most recent period's high minus the most recent period's low | |||
* Absolute value of the most recent period's high minus the previous close | |||
* Absolute value of the most recent period's low minus the previous close | |||
The ATR at the moment of time ''t'' is calculated using the following formula:<ref>[http://www.earnforex.com/articles/average-true-range#Average_Value Average True Range calculation]</ref> | |||
:<math>ATR_t = {{ATR_{t-1} \times (n-1) + TR_t} \over n}</math> | |||
The first ATR value is calculated using the arithmetic mean formula: | |||
:<math>ATR = {1 \over n} \sum_{i=1}^n TR_i</math> | |||
The idea of ranges is that they show the commitment or enthusiasm of traders. Large or increasing ranges suggest traders prepared to continue to bid up or sell down a [[stock]] through the course of the day. Decreasing range suggests waning interest. | |||
== Applicability to futures contracts vs. stocks == | |||
Since true range and ATR are calculated by subtracting prices, the volatility they compute does not change when historical prices are back-adjusted by adding or subtracting a constant to every price. Back-adjustments are often employed when splicing together individual monthly [[futures contract]]s to form a continuous futures contract spanning a long period of time. However the standard procedures used to compute volatility of stock prices, such as the [[standard deviation]] of logarithmic price ratios, are not invariant (to addition of a constant). Thus futures traders and analysts typically use one method (ATR) to calculate volatility, while stock traders and analysts typically use another (SD of log price ratios). | |||
== Use in position size calculation == | |||
Apart from being a trend strength gauge, ATR serves as an element of position sizing in financial trading. Current ATR value (or a multiple of it) can be used as the size of the potential adverse movement ([[Order_(exchange)#Stop_orders|stop-loss]] distance) when calculating the trade volume based on trader's risk tolerance. In this case, ATR provides a self-adjusting risk limit dependent on the market volatility for strategies without a fixed stop-loss placement.<ref name="atr-pos">http://www.earnforex.com/blog/position-sizing-rules/#atr-based-position-sizing</ref> A less volatile market has a larger trading position in comparison to a more volatile market in a portfolio. | |||
==References== | |||
{{reflist}} | |||
== External links == | |||
* [http://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/08/average-true-range.asp ''Measure Volatility With Average True Range''] at investopedia.com | |||
* [http://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/08/ATR.asp ''Enter Profitable Territory With Average True Range''] at investopedia.com | |||
* [http://stockcharts.com/help/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:average_true_range_a Average True Range (ATR)] at stockcharts.com | |||
{{technical analysis}} | |||
[[Category:Technical indicators]] | |||
Revision as of 16:41, 29 May 2013
Average true range (ATR) is a technical analysis volatility indicator originally developed by J. Welles Wilder, Jr. for commodities.[1] The indicator does not provide an indication of price trend, simply the degree of price volatility.[2][3] The average true range is an N-day exponential moving average of the true range values. Wilder recommended a 14-period smoothing.[4]
Calculation
The range of a day's trading is simply . The true range extends it to yesterday's closing price if it was outside of today's range.
The true range is the largest of the:
- Most recent period's high minus the most recent period's low
- Absolute value of the most recent period's high minus the previous close
- Absolute value of the most recent period's low minus the previous close
The ATR at the moment of time t is calculated using the following formula:[5]
The first ATR value is calculated using the arithmetic mean formula:
The idea of ranges is that they show the commitment or enthusiasm of traders. Large or increasing ranges suggest traders prepared to continue to bid up or sell down a stock through the course of the day. Decreasing range suggests waning interest.
Applicability to futures contracts vs. stocks
Since true range and ATR are calculated by subtracting prices, the volatility they compute does not change when historical prices are back-adjusted by adding or subtracting a constant to every price. Back-adjustments are often employed when splicing together individual monthly futures contracts to form a continuous futures contract spanning a long period of time. However the standard procedures used to compute volatility of stock prices, such as the standard deviation of logarithmic price ratios, are not invariant (to addition of a constant). Thus futures traders and analysts typically use one method (ATR) to calculate volatility, while stock traders and analysts typically use another (SD of log price ratios).
Use in position size calculation
Apart from being a trend strength gauge, ATR serves as an element of position sizing in financial trading. Current ATR value (or a multiple of it) can be used as the size of the potential adverse movement (stop-loss distance) when calculating the trade volume based on trader's risk tolerance. In this case, ATR provides a self-adjusting risk limit dependent on the market volatility for strategies without a fixed stop-loss placement.[6] A less volatile market has a larger trading position in comparison to a more volatile market in a portfolio.
References
43 year old Petroleum Engineer Harry from Deep River, usually spends time with hobbies and interests like renting movies, property developers in singapore new condominium and vehicle racing. Constantly enjoys going to destinations like Camino Real de Tierra Adentro.
External links
- Measure Volatility With Average True Range at investopedia.com
- Enter Profitable Territory With Average True Range at investopedia.com
- Average True Range (ATR) at stockcharts.com
- ↑ 20 year-old Real Estate Agent Rusty from Saint-Paul, has hobbies and interests which includes monopoly, property developers in singapore and poker. Will soon undertake a contiki trip that may include going to the Lower Valley of the Omo.
My blog: http://www.primaboinca.com/view_profile.php?userid=5889534 - ↑ ATR Definition - investopedia.com
- ↑
20 year-old Real Estate Agent Rusty from Saint-Paul, has hobbies and interests which includes monopoly, property developers in singapore and poker. Will soon undertake a contiki trip that may include going to the Lower Valley of the Omo.
My blog: http://www.primaboinca.com/view_profile.php?userid=5889534 - ↑ This is by his reckoning of EMA periods, meaning an α=2/(1+14)=0.1333.
- ↑ Average True Range calculation
- ↑ http://www.earnforex.com/blog/position-sizing-rules/#atr-based-position-sizing