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The | In [[mathematics]], a '''local martingale''' is a type of [[stochastic process]], satisfying the [[Stopping time#Localization|localized]] version of the [[Martingale (probability theory)|martingale]] property. Every martingale is a local martingale; every bounded local martingale is a martingale; in particular, every local martingale that is bounded from below is a supermartingale, and every local martingale that is bounded from above is a submartingale; however, in general a local martingale is not a martingale, because its expectation can be distorted by large values of small probability. In particular, a [[Itō diffusion|driftless diffusion process]] is a local martingale, but not necessarily a martingale. | ||
Local martingales are essential in [[stochastic analysis]], see [[Itō calculus#Local_martingales|Itō calculus]], [[semimartingale]], [[Girsanov theorem]]. | |||
==Definition== | |||
Let (Ω, ''F'', '''P''') be a [[probability space]]; let ''F''<sub>∗</sub> = { ''F''<sub>''t''</sub> | ''t'' ≥ 0 } be a [[filtration (abstract algebra)|filtration]] of ''F''; let X : [0, +∞) × Ω → ''S'' be an ''F''<sub>∗</sub>-[[adapted process|adapted stochastic process]] on set ''S''. Then ''X'' is called an ''F''<sub>∗</sub>'''-local martingale''' if there exists a sequence of ''F''<sub>∗</sub>-[[stopping rule|stopping times]] ''τ''<sub>''k''</sub> : Ω → [0, +∞) such that | |||
* the ''τ''<sub>''k''</sub> are [[almost surely]] [[increasing]]: '''P'''[''τ''<sub>''k''</sub> < ''τ''<sub>''k''+1</sub>] = 1; | |||
* the ''τ''<sub>''k''</sub> diverge almost surely: '''P'''[''τ''<sub>''k''</sub> → +∞ as ''k'' → +∞] = 1; | |||
* the [[stopped process]] | |||
::<math>X_t^{\tau_{k}} := X_{\min \{ t, \tau_k \}}</math> | |||
: is an ''F''<sub>∗</sub>-martingale for every ''k''. | |||
==Examples == | |||
===Example 1=== | |||
Let ''W''<sub>''t''</sub> be the [[Wiener process]] and ''T'' = min{ ''t'' : ''W''<sub>''t''</sub> = −1 } the [[hitting time|time of first hit]] of −1. The [[stopped process]] ''W''<sub>min{ ''t'', ''T'' }</sub> is a martingale; its expectation is 0 at all times, nevertheless its limit (as ''t'' → ∞) is equal to −1 almost surely (a kind of [[gambler's ruin]]). A time change leads to a process | |||
: <math>\displaystyle X_t = \begin{cases} | |||
W_{\min(\frac{t}{1-t},T)} &\text{for } 0 \le t < 1,\\ | |||
-1 &\text{for } 1 \le t < \infty. | |||
\end{cases} </math> | |||
The process <math> X_t </math> is continuous almost surely; nevertheless, its expectation is discontinuous, | |||
: <math>\displaystyle \mathbb{E} X_t = \begin{cases} | |||
0 &\text{for } 0 \le t < 1,\\ | |||
-1 &\text{for } 1 \le t < \infty. | |||
\end{cases} </math> | |||
This process is not a martingale. However, it is a local martingale. A localizing sequence may be chosen as <math> \tau_k = \min \{ t : X_t = k \} </math> if there is such ''t'', otherwise τ<sub>''k''</sub> = ''k''. This sequence diverges almost surely, since τ<sub>''k''</sub> = ''k'' for all ''k'' large enough (namely, for all ''k'' that exceed the maximal value of the process ''X''). The process stopped at τ<sub>''k''</sub> is a martingale.<ref group="details"> | |||
For the times before 1 it is a martingale since a stopped Brownian motion is. After the instant 1 it is constant. It remains to check it at the instant 1. By the [[bounded convergence theorem]] the expectation at 1 is the limit of the expectation at (''n''-1)/''n'' (as ''n'' tends to infinity), and the latter does not depend on ''n''. The same argument applies to the conditional expectation. | |||
</ref> | |||
===Example 2=== | |||
Let ''W''<sub>''t''</sub> be the [[Wiener process]] and ''ƒ'' a measurable function such that <math> \mathbb{E} |f(W_1)| < \infty. </math> Then the following process is a martingale: | |||
: <math>\displaystyle X_t = \mathbb{E} ( f(W_1) | F_t ) = \begin{cases} | |||
f_{1-t}(W_t) &\text{for } 0 \le t < 1,\\ | |||
f(W_1) &\text{for } 1 \le t < \infty; | |||
\end{cases} </math> | |||
here | |||
: <math>\displaystyle f_s(x) = \mathbb{E} f(x+W_s) = \int f(x+y) \frac1{\sqrt{2\pi s}} \mathrm{e}^{-y^2/(2s)} . </math> | |||
The [[Dirac delta function]] <math> \delta </math> (strictly speaking, not a function), being used in place of <math> f, </math> leads to a process defined informally as <math> Y_t = \mathbb{E} ( \delta(W_1) | F_t ) </math> and formally as | |||
: <math>\displaystyle Y_t = \begin{cases} | |||
\delta_{1-t}(W_t) &\text{for } 0 \le t < 1,\\ | |||
0 &\text{for } 1 \le t < \infty, | |||
\end{cases} </math> | |||
where | |||
: <math>\displaystyle \delta_s(x) = \frac1{\sqrt{2\pi s}} \mathrm{e}^{-x^2/(2s)} . </math> | |||
The process <math> Y_t </math> is continuous almost surely (since <math> W_1 \ne 0 </math> almost surely), nevertheless, its expectation is discontinuous, | |||
: <math>\displaystyle \mathbb{E} Y_t = \begin{cases} | |||
1/\sqrt{2\pi} &\text{for } 0 \le t < 1,\\ | |||
0 &\text{for } 1 \le t < \infty. | |||
\end{cases} </math> | |||
This process is not a martingale. However, it is a local martingale. A localizing sequence may be chosen as <math> \tau_k = \min \{ t : Y_t = k \}. </math> | |||
===Example 3=== | |||
Let <math> Z_t </math> be the [[Wiener process#Complex-valued Wiener process|complex-valued Wiener process]], and | |||
: <math>\displaystyle X_t = \ln | Z_t - 1 | \, . </math> | |||
The process <math> X_t </math> is continuous almost surely (since <math> Z_t </math> does not hit 1, almost surely), and is a local martingale, since the function <math> u \mapsto \ln|u-1| </math> is [[harmonic function|harmonic]] (on the complex plane without the point 1). A localizing sequence may be chosen as <math> \tau_k = \min \{ t : X_t = -k \}. </math> Nevertheless, the expectation of this process is non-constant; moreover, | |||
: <math>\displaystyle \mathbb{E} X_t \to \infty </math> as <math> t \to \infty, </math> | |||
which can be deduced from the fact that the mean value of <math> \ln|u-1| </math> over the circle <math> |u|=r </math> tends to infinity as <math> r \to \infty </math>. (In fact, it is equal to <math> \ln r </math> for ''r'' ≥ 1 but to 0 for ''r'' ≤ 1). | |||
== Martingales via local martingales == | |||
Let <math> M_t </math> be a local martingale. In order to prove that it is a martingale it is sufficient to prove that <math> M_t^{\tau_k} \to M_t </math> [[convergence of random variables#Convergence in mean|in ''L''<sup>1</sup>]] (as <math> k \to \infty </math>) for every ''t'', that is, <math> \mathbb{E} | M_t^{\tau_k} - M_t | \to 0; </math> here <math> M_t^{\tau_k} = M_{t\wedge \tau_k} </math> is the stopped process. The given relation <math> \tau_k \to \infty </math> implies that <math> M_t^{\tau_k} \to M_t </math> almost surely. The [[dominated convergence theorem]] ensures the convergence in ''L''<sup>1</sup> provided that | |||
: <math>\textstyle (*) \quad \mathbb{E} \sup_k| M_t^{\tau_k} | < \infty </math> for every ''t''. | |||
Thus, Condition (*) is sufficient for a local martingale <math> M_t </math> being a martingale. A stronger condition | |||
: <math>\textstyle (**) \quad \mathbb{E} \sup_{s\in[0,t]} |M_s| < \infty </math> for every ''t'' | |||
is also sufficient. | |||
''Caution.'' The weaker condition | |||
: <math>\textstyle \sup_{s\in[0,t]} \mathbb{E} |M_s| < \infty </math> for every ''t'' | |||
is not sufficient. Moreover, the condition | |||
: <math>\textstyle \sup_{t\in[0,\infty)} \mathbb{E} \mathrm{e}^{|M_t|} < \infty </math> | |||
is still not sufficient; for a counterexample see [[Local martingale#Example 3|Example 3 above]]. | |||
A special case: | |||
: <math>\textstyle M_t = f(t,W_t), </math> | |||
where <math> W_t </math> is the [[Wiener process]], and <math> f : [0,\infty) \times \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R} </math> is [[smooth function|twice continuously differentiable]]. The process <math> M_t </math> is a local martingale if and only if ''f'' satisfies the [[Partial differential equation|PDE]] | |||
: <math> \Big( \frac{\partial}{\partial t} + \frac12 \frac{\partial^2}{\partial x^2} \Big) f(t,x) = 0. </math> | |||
However, this PDE itself does not ensure that <math> M_t </math> is a martingale. In order to apply (**) the following condition on ''f'' is sufficient: for every <math> \varepsilon>0 </math> and ''t'' there exists <math> C = C(\varepsilon,t) </math> such that | |||
: <math>\textstyle |f(s,x)| \le C \mathrm{e}^{\varepsilon x^2} </math> | |||
for all <math> s \in [0,t] </math> and <math> x \in \mathbb{R}. </math> | |||
==Technical details== | |||
<references group="details" /> | |||
==References== | |||
* {{cite book | last=Øksendal | first=Bernt K. | authorlink=Bernt Øksendal | title=Stochastic Differential Equations: An Introduction with Applications | edition=Sixth edition | publisher=Springer | location=Berlin | year=2003 | isbn=3-540-04758-1}} | |||
{{Stochastic processes}} | |||
{{DEFAULTSORT:Local Martingale}} | |||
[[Category:Martingale theory]] | |||
[[Category:Stochastic processes]] | |||
Revision as of 12:07, 16 September 2013
In mathematics, a local martingale is a type of stochastic process, satisfying the localized version of the martingale property. Every martingale is a local martingale; every bounded local martingale is a martingale; in particular, every local martingale that is bounded from below is a supermartingale, and every local martingale that is bounded from above is a submartingale; however, in general a local martingale is not a martingale, because its expectation can be distorted by large values of small probability. In particular, a driftless diffusion process is a local martingale, but not necessarily a martingale.
Local martingales are essential in stochastic analysis, see Itō calculus, semimartingale, Girsanov theorem.
Definition
Let (Ω, F, P) be a probability space; let F∗ = { Ft | t ≥ 0 } be a filtration of F; let X : [0, +∞) × Ω → S be an F∗-adapted stochastic process on set S. Then X is called an F∗-local martingale if there exists a sequence of F∗-stopping times τk : Ω → [0, +∞) such that
- the τk are almost surely increasing: P[τk < τk+1] = 1;
- the τk diverge almost surely: P[τk → +∞ as k → +∞] = 1;
- the stopped process
- is an F∗-martingale for every k.
Examples
Example 1
Let Wt be the Wiener process and T = min{ t : Wt = −1 } the time of first hit of −1. The stopped process Wmin{ t, T } is a martingale; its expectation is 0 at all times, nevertheless its limit (as t → ∞) is equal to −1 almost surely (a kind of gambler's ruin). A time change leads to a process
The process is continuous almost surely; nevertheless, its expectation is discontinuous,
This process is not a martingale. However, it is a local martingale. A localizing sequence may be chosen as if there is such t, otherwise τk = k. This sequence diverges almost surely, since τk = k for all k large enough (namely, for all k that exceed the maximal value of the process X). The process stopped at τk is a martingale.[details 1]
Example 2
Let Wt be the Wiener process and ƒ a measurable function such that Then the following process is a martingale:
here
The Dirac delta function (strictly speaking, not a function), being used in place of leads to a process defined informally as and formally as
where
The process is continuous almost surely (since almost surely), nevertheless, its expectation is discontinuous,
This process is not a martingale. However, it is a local martingale. A localizing sequence may be chosen as
Example 3
Let be the complex-valued Wiener process, and
The process is continuous almost surely (since does not hit 1, almost surely), and is a local martingale, since the function is harmonic (on the complex plane without the point 1). A localizing sequence may be chosen as Nevertheless, the expectation of this process is non-constant; moreover,
which can be deduced from the fact that the mean value of over the circle tends to infinity as . (In fact, it is equal to for r ≥ 1 but to 0 for r ≤ 1).
Martingales via local martingales
Let be a local martingale. In order to prove that it is a martingale it is sufficient to prove that in L1 (as ) for every t, that is, here is the stopped process. The given relation implies that almost surely. The dominated convergence theorem ensures the convergence in L1 provided that
Thus, Condition (*) is sufficient for a local martingale being a martingale. A stronger condition
is also sufficient.
Caution. The weaker condition
is not sufficient. Moreover, the condition
is still not sufficient; for a counterexample see Example 3 above.
A special case:
where is the Wiener process, and is twice continuously differentiable. The process is a local martingale if and only if f satisfies the PDE
However, this PDE itself does not ensure that is a martingale. In order to apply (**) the following condition on f is sufficient: for every and t there exists such that
Technical details
- ↑ For the times before 1 it is a martingale since a stopped Brownian motion is. After the instant 1 it is constant. It remains to check it at the instant 1. By the bounded convergence theorem the expectation at 1 is the limit of the expectation at (n-1)/n (as n tends to infinity), and the latter does not depend on n. The same argument applies to the conditional expectation.
References
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