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In [[mathematics]], the '''Paley–Zygmund inequality''' bounds the
probability that a positive random variable is small, in terms of
its [[expected value|mean]] and [[variance]] (i.e., its first two [[moment (mathematics)|moments]]). The inequality was
proved by [[Raymond Paley]] and [[Antoni Zygmund]].
 
'''Theorem''': If ''Z'' ≥ 0 is a [[random variable]] with
finite variance, and if 0&nbsp;<&nbsp;''&theta;''&nbsp;<&nbsp;1, then
 
:<math>
\operatorname{P}( Z \ge \theta\operatorname{E}[Z] )
\ge (1-\theta)^2 \frac{\operatorname{E}[Z]^2}{\operatorname{E}[Z^2]}.
</math>
 
'''Proof''': First,
:<math>
\operatorname{E}[Z] = \operatorname{E}[ Z \, \mathbf{1}_{\{ Z < \theta \operatorname{E}[Z] \}}]  + \operatorname{E}[ Z \, \mathbf{1}_{\{ Z \ge \theta \operatorname{E}[Z] \}} ].
</math>
The first addend is at most <math>\theta \operatorname{E}[Z]</math>, while the second is at most <math> \operatorname{E}[Z^2]^{1/2} \operatorname{P}( Z \ge \theta\operatorname{E}[Z])^{1/2} </math> by the [[Cauchy–Schwarz inequality]]. The desired inequality then follows.
 
== Related inequalities ==
 
The Paley–Zygmund inequality can be written as
 
:<math>
\operatorname{P}( Z \ge \theta \operatorname{E}[Z] )
\ge \frac{(1-\theta)^2 \, \operatorname{E}[Z]^2}{\operatorname{var} Z + \operatorname{E}[Z]^2}.
</math>
 
This can be improved. By the [[Cauchy–Schwarz inequality]],
 
:<math>
\operatorname{E}[Z - \theta \operatorname{E}[Z]]
\le \operatorname{E}[ (Z - \theta \operatorname{E}[Z]) \mathbf{1}_{\{ Z \ge \theta \operatorname{E}[Z] \}} ]
\le \operatorname{E}[ (Z - \theta \operatorname{E}[Z])^2 ]^{1/2} \operatorname{P}( Z \ge \theta \operatorname{E}[Z] )^{1/2}
</math>
 
which, after rearranging, implies that
 
:<math>
\operatorname{P}(Z \ge \theta \operatorname{E}[Z])
\ge \frac{(1-\theta)^2 \operatorname{E}[Z]^2}{\operatorname{E}[( Z - \theta \operatorname{E}[Z] )^2]}
= \frac{(1-\theta)^2 \operatorname{E}[Z]^2}{\operatorname{var} Z + (1-\theta)^2 \operatorname{E}[Z]^2}.
</math>
 
This inequality is sharp; equality is achieved if Z almost surely equals a positive constant, for example.
 
== References==
 
* R.E.A.C.Paley and A.Zygmund, ''A note on analytic functions in the unit circle'', Proc. Camb. Phil. Soc. 28, 1932, 266–272
 
{{DEFAULTSORT:Paley-Zygmund inequality}}
[[Category:Probabilistic inequalities]]

Revision as of 06:08, 22 January 2014

In mathematics, the Paley–Zygmund inequality bounds the probability that a positive random variable is small, in terms of its mean and variance (i.e., its first two moments). The inequality was proved by Raymond Paley and Antoni Zygmund.

Theorem: If Z ≥ 0 is a random variable with finite variance, and if 0 < θ < 1, then

P(ZθE[Z])(1θ)2E[Z]2E[Z2].

Proof: First,

E[Z]=E[Z1{Z<θE[Z]}]+E[Z1{ZθE[Z]}].

The first addend is at most θE[Z], while the second is at most E[Z2]1/2P(ZθE[Z])1/2 by the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality. The desired inequality then follows. ∎

Related inequalities

The Paley–Zygmund inequality can be written as

P(ZθE[Z])(1θ)2E[Z]2varZ+E[Z]2.

This can be improved. By the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality,

E[ZθE[Z]]E[(ZθE[Z])1{ZθE[Z]}]E[(ZθE[Z])2]1/2P(ZθE[Z])1/2

which, after rearranging, implies that

P(ZθE[Z])(1θ)2E[Z]2E[(ZθE[Z])2]=(1θ)2E[Z]2varZ+(1θ)2E[Z]2.

This inequality is sharp; equality is achieved if Z almost surely equals a positive constant, for example.

References

  • R.E.A.C.Paley and A.Zygmund, A note on analytic functions in the unit circle, Proc. Camb. Phil. Soc. 28, 1932, 266–272