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Template:Single source The self-sampling assumption (SSA), one of the two major schools of anthropic probability[1] (the other being the Self-Indication Assumption (SIA)), states that:

All other things equal, an observer should reason as if they are randomly selected from the set of all actually existent observers (past, present and future) in their reference class.

For instance, if there is a coin flip that on heads will create one observer, while on tails they will create two, then we have two possible worlds, the first with one observer, the second with two. These worlds are equally probable, hence the SSA probability of being the first (and only) observer in the heads world is 1/2, that of being the first observer in the tails world is 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/4, and the probability of being the second observer in the tails world is also 1/4.

This is why SSA gives an answer of 1/2 probability of heads in the Sleeping Beauty problem.

Unlike SIA, SSA is dependent on the choice of reference class. If the agents in the above example were in the same reference class as a trillion other observers, then the probability of being in the heads world, upon the agent being told they are in the sleeping beauty problem, is 1/3, similar to SIA.

SSA implies the doomsday argument, and is often used in anthropic reasoning.

See also

References

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Πάνω από όλα αυτό γινόταν πολύ αβέβαιο ότι το επόμενο άλμπουμ τους θα πάρει κυκλοφορήσει καθόλου από CBS που είχε κυκλοφορήσει ένα πολύ ελάχιστο αριθμό Black Box άλμπουμ στην Αμερική και έκανε σχεδόν καμία υποστήριξη του έργου σε όλα. Αποφασίστηκε ότι ήρθε η ώρα να σπάσει το πάνω συγκρότημα και όλοι θα ακολουθήσουν ξεχωριστούς δρόμους. Κανείς δεν θα συνεχίσει ως το Queen City Kids. Αντ 'αυτού, ο John και ο Jeff σχηματίζεται ένα πανκ συγκρότημα που ονομάζεται Αγάπη Active με τον πρώην τραγουδιστή Doris Daze Kim Albright. Alex βγήκε με ένα νέο πρόγραμμα Nike Millenium που ονομάζεται Straw Dog. Ενώ Cal freelanced με ορισμένες ομάδες Regina και αργότερα με Christian Louboutin Greece Kenny Shields.

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